Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners handed the Los Angeles Angels a 6-2 defeat at Angel Stadium on June 10, 2023, handing the home team a loss the DiamondIQ model had initially given just a 42 percent chance of occurring. Seattle built its lead through a pair of decisive innings, scoring three runs in the third and two more in the fourth to pull away early and never relinquish control. The Angels entered with a 58 percent pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out.

The third inning defined the contest, swinging the game's win probability dramatically in both directions within minutes. Julio Rodríguez delivered the biggest blow of the game for Seattle, connecting on a home run off Patrick Sandoval that shifted win probability by plus 18.1 percent in the Mariners' favor. Shohei Ohtani answered in the bottom half with a solo home run off Bryan Woo that carried a plus 18.2 percent swing, briefly keeping the Angels alive, but Teoscar Hernández had already contributed a plus 7.0 percent single earlier in the frame. Seattle then piled on in the fourth inning, with Tom Murphy singling for a plus 10.2 percent swing and J.P. Crawford following with a plus 8.5 percent single, both coming against Sandoval and effectively burying any realistic path back for Los Angeles.

Rodríguez finished as Seattle's top overall contributor with a plus 12.7 percent WPA and plus 1.3 RE24, while Crawford was nearly his equal at plus 12.4 percent WPA and plus 1.4 RE24. Eugenio Suárez added plus 10.6 percent WPA and led all position players with a plus 1.6 RE24. Seattle's bullpen provided clean work behind starter Woo, with Justin Topa posting a plus 7.7 percent WPA, Gabe Speier contributing plus 7.0 percent, and Andrés Muñoz adding plus 3.2 percent to close things out.