Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the Philadelphia Phillies 9-0 at Citizens Bank Park on June 10, 2023, a dominant road performance that erased what the DiamondIQ model's estimate had opened as a 45 percent pre-game home win probability for Philadelphia down to zero by the final out. The Dodgers broke through in the third inning against Aaron Nola, with a Mookie Betts single adding 8.5 percent in win probability and a Freddie Freeman single adding another 11.4 percent as Los Angeles built an early two-run advantage. The Dodgers extended that lead to three in the fourth on a David Peralta home run off Nola worth 9.7 percent in win probability, and then blew the game open with a six-run seventh inning that effectively ended any realistic path to a Phillies comeback.

Bobby Miller was the central figure of the night, leading all pitchers with a 24.7 percent win-probability contribution as he stifled Philadelphia across his outing. The Phillies did register moments of early threat — Bryson Stott's second-inning double off Miller generated 6.0 percent in win probability and was the most consequential Philadelphia plate appearance of the evening — but Bryce Harper's third-inning groundout into a double play erased that momentum, costing the Phillies 5.8 percent in win probability and proving to be their most damaging sequence of the game.

Among Dodgers batters, Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman were the primary offensive engines. Betts finished with a model-leading plus-13.1 percent in win probability added alongside a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Freeman posted nearly identical win-probability impact at plus-13.0 percent and led all position players with a RE24 of plus-2.0. Stott was the lone Phillie to register a positive WPA line at plus-7.3 percent, though his contributions were ultimately subsumed by a lineup that managed six hits and crossed no runs against the Dodgers pitching staff.