Baltimore Orioles at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers handled the Baltimore Orioles decisively at American Family Field on June 7, 2023, winning 10-2 in a game that was never particularly close after the early innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Milwaukee a 48 percent home win probability, but that figure climbed steadily throughout and closed at 100 percent as the Brewers piled up 16 hits against a Baltimore pitching staff that had no answers for a loaded Brewers lineup.

The single most consequential moment of the game came in the bottom of the third inning, when Joey Wiemer connected on a home run off Dean Kremer that shifted win probability by 14.1 percent in Milwaukee's favor, the largest single-play swing of the contest. Wiemer was not finished, adding a single off Kremer in the fourth that moved the needle another 5.3 percent, and his cumulative totals of plus-19.5 percent WPA and plus-5.5 RE24 made him the game's most impactful offensive player by a wide margin. Baltimore's best chance to stay in the game effectively ended in the top of the second, when Gunnar Henderson grounded into a double play off Corbin Burnes, a swing of negative 6.9 percent for the Orioles. A Jon Singleton double off Kremer in the fifth added another 4.0 percent to Milwaukee's growing cushion before the Brewers blew the game open with four runs in the seventh.

Corbin Burnes was the dominant force on the mound, posting a plus-23.0 percent WPA that led all pitchers and complemented the offense's production efficiently. Willy Adames and Victor Caratini each contributed plus-3.9 percent WPA on the offensive side, rounding out a balanced Milwaukee effort. Baltimore finished with just five hits and an error, and the model's lean toward a competitive game never materialized as the Brewers cruised to an eight-run victory.