Kansas City Royals at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 6 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins dominated the Kansas City Royals 6-1 at loanDepot park on June 6, 2023, with a decisive fifth-inning eruption that effectively ended the contest. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Miami at a 77 percent home win probability, and by the time the fifth inning concluded, that figure had climbed toward certainty on its way to a final estimate of 100 percent. Kansas City committed three errors across the game and managed just five hits, while Miami's seven hits were concentrated with lethal efficiency.
The fifth inning was where the game was decided. Bryan De La Cruz delivered the single most impactful at-bat of the night, lining a double off Jackson Kowar that shifted win probability by plus-16.4 percent, the largest single-play swing of the contest. Zack Greinke then entered and was greeted by Jesús Sánchez, whose home run added another plus-12.4 percent to Miami's probability. Luis Arraez followed with a single that contributed an additional plus-9.8 percent, pushing the Marlins' five-run frame from an opportunity into a rout. Miami added a run in the seventh to reach the final margin of six.
On the individual ledger, De La Cruz finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-15.6 percent with a RE24 of plus-3.1, reflecting his outsized run-environment contribution. Sánchez added plus-10.4 percent WPA, and Arraez contributed plus-8.1 percent. On the pitching side, Jesús Luzardo led all pitchers with a plus-10.8 percent WPA, holding Kansas City in check across his outing. Greinke, despite absorbing the bulk of the damage, finished at plus-0.6 percent WPA, a figure that reflects the run support the Marlins provided around him rather than his command of the frame.