Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Atlanta Braves defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 8-5 at Chase Field on June 4, 2023, with a four-run ninth inning that turned a tight contest into a comfortable margin. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Arizona entering with a 53% win probability, but it closed at 0% as Atlanta's offense proved decisive late.
The game's defining moment came in the top of the ninth off Miguel Castro, when Eddie Rosario connected on a home run that shifted win probability by +75.2 percentage points in Atlanta's favor, the single largest swing of the game and the play that effectively ended Arizona's chances. Rosario finished as the game's top performer by a wide margin, accumulating a +59.8% WPA and a +2.0 RE24 on the night. Ronald Acuña Jr. added a single in that same inning worth +20.1% WP, and he finished with a +26.6% WPA and +0.7 RE24. The Diamondbacks had stayed competitive through the middle innings largely on the strength of Ketel Marte, whose fourth-inning home run off Michael Soroka added +21.6% WP and accounted for a +23.0% WPA and +1.8 RE24 for Marte on the evening. Ozzie Albies had provided Atlanta an earlier lift with a fourth-inning home run off Zac Gallen worth +18.5% WP.
On the pitching side, Scott McGough led Atlanta's relievers with a +10.8% WPA, followed by AJ Smith-Shawver at +8.8% and Collin McHugh at +6.8%, a trio that helped preserve the lead through the middle innings before the offense made it academic in the ninth. Atlanta finished with 14 hits and committed no errors, while Arizona managed 8 hits and was charged with one error across the final box score.