Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays defeated the Los Angeles Angels 4-3 at Angel Stadium on April 7, 2023, rallying from a two-run deficit established in the first inning to take the series win. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Angels a 54% win probability at home, but that figure collapsed to 0% by the final out as Toronto's offense came alive late and the bullpen held firm.

The decisive moment came in the top of the seventh inning, when Bo Bichette connected on a home run off Jimmy Herget that swung win probability by 42.1 percentage points in Toronto's favor — the largest single-play shift of the game. That swing was the backbone of a three-run seventh that turned a deficit into a lead and effectively decided the outcome. Earlier, Alejandro Kirk's walk off Patrick Sandoval in the fourth inning had added 9.9 percentage points to Toronto's win probability, extending a rally that cut into the Angels' early advantage. Bichette finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 38.4%, with an RE24 of plus 2.9, reflecting the outsized run-environment value of his home run.

The Angels made noise in the eighth inning when Shohei Ohtani doubled off Erik Swanson to add 13.4 percentage points to Los Angeles's win probability, keeping the game within reach. However, Brandon Drury's flyout in the same frame swung probability back 19.9 points toward Toronto, and Swanson ultimately finished as the top pitcher on the board at plus 23.3% WPA. In the ninth, Jordan Romano induced a groundout from Luis Rengifo — a play that, while representing the final out, actually registered a 31.6-point swing in Toronto's favor given the Angels still held a runner threat at that stage, sealing the 4-3 final. Patrick Sandoval posted plus 20.3% WPA in a losing effort, and Andrew Wantz contributed plus 11.0% from the Angels bullpen, though it proved insufficient to overcome Bichette's seventh-inning damage.