Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies defeated the Washington Nationals 1-0 at Coors Field on April 6, 2023, a tightly contested shutout in which a single fifth-inning run proved to be all that was needed. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Colorado a 54% win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100%, reflecting just how thoroughly the Rockies controlled the game once they broke through against Nationals starter Josiah Gray.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, where the two highest-impact plays of the game unfolded at Gray's expense. Ezequiel Tovar's double added 7.4% to Colorado's win probability, and Kris Bryant followed with a single that swung the model another 10.3% in the Rockies' favor, plating what would be the game's only run. Bryant finished as one of the top offensive contributors, accumulating +12.5% WPA and a +0.9 RE24, while Elehuris Montero led all batters with +14.9% WPA and a +0.6 RE24, building on that fifth-inning damage. Washington had its best opportunity in the eighth, when CJ Abrams singled off Justin Lawrence to generate +9.3% WPA on the night, but a Joey Meneses flyout in the same frame erased 7.7% of those gains and snuffed the rally.

Kyle Freeland was the story on the mound, accumulating +32.0% WPA as the game's most impactful pitcher, navigating a six-hit Washington lineup across his innings and keeping the Nationals scoreless throughout. Josiah Gray contributed +15.6% WPA in a losing effort, which speaks to how effectively he limited further damage after the fifth. Pierce Johnson closed things out with a +15.2% WPA performance, stranding any remaining Nationals threats, including a Dominic Smith strikeout in the ninth that cost Washington 7.1% in win probability and ended the game.