Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The Cleveland Guardians handed the Chicago White Sox a 9-5 defeat at Rate Field on October 8, 2026, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had opened as a 54 percent home win probability for Chicago and reducing it to zero by the final out. Cleveland was held scoreless through the first two innings before breaking through with a pair of runs in the third, then turned the game decisively in the fifth and sixth. The Guardians plated three in the top of the fifth and six more in the sixth, while Chicago managed two runs in the fifth and one in the ninth, never finding enough sustained offense to threaten Cleveland's advantage. The final line read 9 runs on 10 hits and no errors for the Guardians against 5 runs on 8 hits and no errors for the White Sox.
The game's most consequential sequence came in the top of the fifth, where José Ramírez delivered a home run off Jordan Hicks that swung win probability 21.6 percent in Cleveland's favor, the single largest play of the contest by that measure. Patrick Bailey added a home run in the same inning, this one off Erick Fedde, pushing the needle another 11.1 percent toward the Guardians. Chicago's best offensive moment came in the bottom of the fifth, when Sam Antonacci was hit by a pitch off Tim Herrin to generate a 13.2 percent swing for the home side, and Chase Meidroth had doubled off Parker Messick in the third for a 10.1 percent shift. Bailey added a single off Grant Taylor in the sixth worth 17.2 percent, effectively closing any remaining door for Chicago.
By WPA, Patrick Bailey was the game's top individual performer at plus 28.3 percent with a RE24 of plus 2.2, edging José Ramírez, who finished at plus 27.9 percent and plus 1.9 RE24. Munetaka Murakami contributed meaningfully as well at plus 14.7 percent and plus 1.4 RE24. On the mound, Erik Sabrowski led Cleveland's pitching staff with a WPA of plus 8.4 percent, followed by Shawn Armstrong at plus 6.1 percent and Hunter Gaddis at plus 2.7 percent, a collective effort that kept Chicago from mounting any serious late rally.