Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians rolled to a 9-3 victory over the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on October 7, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win from 54 percent before first pitch all the way to zero. Cleveland scored in five of nine innings and never allowed the White Sox to gain any meaningful foothold after the early stages, finishing with 11 hits against no errors while holding Chicago to six hits of their own.

The game's most decisive moment came in the top of the third inning, when Jo Adell laced a triple off Hagen Smith that swung win probability 23.7 percent in Cleveland's favor, serving as the catalyst for a four-run frame that effectively broke the game open. The White Sox had their best chance to claw back in the bottom of the fifth, but Kyle Teel grounded into a double play off Joey Cantillo, a sequence that cost Chicago 15.9 percent in win probability and extinguished the rally before it started. José Ramírez kept the damage coming in the top of the eighth with a triple off David Sandlin worth another 14.5 percent swing, and two more Cleveland runs crossed in the ninth to finalize the margin. On the Chicago side, a Sam Antonacci hit by pitch off Hunter Gaddis in the sixth briefly nudged the home team's odds upward by 11.5 percent, but a Miguel Vargas lineout in the same half-inning erased 12.1 percent of that progress and ended the threat.

Adell led all players with a WPA of plus-25.3 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.6, with Ramírez close behind at plus-24.8 percent WPA and plus-2.4 RE24, and Antonacci contributing plus-21.1 percent WPA and plus-2.0 RE24 despite his team's loss. On the mound, Joey Cantillo paced Cleveland's pitching staff with a WPA of plus-8.9 percent, edging Tim Herrin at plus-8.8 percent, while Sean Newcomb added plus-5.4 percent to keep the White Sox offense largely in check through the middle innings.