Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| HOU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
The Story
The Chicago White Sox handed the Houston Astros a 7-3 defeat at Daikin Park on September 30, 2026, doing the bulk of their damage in the first and sixth innings while holding Houston's offense in check for most of the night. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Houston holding a 54% pre-game win probability, but that figure eroded steadily before reaching 0% by the final out. Chicago committed no errors on the evening against two for Houston, and the White Sox finished with eight hits to the Astros' five.
The pivotal sequence of the game came in the top of the sixth inning, when Chase Meidroth connected on a home run off Bryan Abreu that shifted win probability by 19.0 percentage points in Chicago's favor, the single largest swing of the night. That blow capped a three-run sixth that effectively put the game away after Houston had kept things competitive. The Astros' best moment arrived in the bottom of the fourth, when Jose Altuve hit a home run off Sean Burke for an 11.4-point swing, trimming the deficit and giving Houston life. Altuve, however, followed that with a flyout in the fifth off Anthony Kay that swung probability 10.5 points back toward Chicago. The game's early tone was set in the top of the first, when a Sam Antonacci groundout produced an 8.5-point swing for the White Sox, while a Yainer Diaz strikeout to end the Houston first represented an 8.3-point probability loss for the home side.
Among the top individual performers, Meidroth led all batters with a WPA of plus-18.0 and a RE24 of plus-2.2, underscoring how central his sixth-inning home run was to Chicago's victory. Cam Smith contributed a plus-11.9 WPA and plus-1.1 RE24, while Antonacci posted a plus-7.2 WPA despite a slightly negative RE24 of minus-0.3. On the mound, Sean Burke led Chicago's pitching staff with a plus-10.3 WPA, followed by Anthony Kay at plus-9.2 and Jordan Hicks at plus-7.7, a collective effort that suppressed Houston's lineup after the Astros briefly showed signs of making things interesting in the middle innings.