Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles dismantled the New York Yankees 10-2 at Yankee Stadium on September 25, 2026, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 62 percent pre-game home win probability for New York and running it to zero by the final out. Baltimore's offense came alive in the middle innings, scoring two in the third and five in the fourth to effectively end the contest before the game reached its midpoint. The Orioles finished with 13 hits against a Yankees pitching staff that had no answer for the heart of Baltimore's lineup.

The decisive blow came in the third inning when Pete Alonso connected on a home run off Brendan Beck, a swing that shifted win probability by 20.0 percent in Baltimore's favor and set the tone for everything that followed. The fourth inning compounded the damage further, as Dylan Beavers added his own home run off Beck for a 16.2 percent swing, and the frame continued to unravel for New York when Christian Franklin singled and Colton Cowser drew a walk, each contributing an additional 6.5 percent swing. Beck bore the brunt of the Orioles' five-run fourth, and Baltimore never looked back after that stretch.

On the individual leaderboard, Alonso finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-20.0 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.4, while Beavers edged him in run-expectancy terms with a plus-2.8 RE24 and a combined WPA of plus-17.5 percent. Colton Cowser added plus-7.5 percent WPA and a plus-1.3 RE24 to round out Baltimore's most impactful contributors. On the mound, Trevor Rogers was the clear standout, posting plus-15.7 percent WPA to lead all pitchers and anchor a Baltimore staff that limited New York to two runs over nine innings.