New York Mets at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals defeated the New York Mets 7-6 at Nationals Park on September 25, 2026, in a game that shifted decisively in the third inning and never fully escaped the Nationals' grip. The DiamondIQ model opened with Washington holding a 56% pre-game win probability, and by the final out that figure had reached 100%, reflecting a contest that grew steadily less competitive despite New York's persistent attempts to claw back.

The third inning was the central battleground for both clubs. Bo Bichette's double off Andrew Alvarez provided the biggest single swing in New York's favor, adding 15.7% to the Mets' win probability and helping them build a 3-2 lead through three. Washington answered with force, as Dylan Crews drew a bases-loaded walk off Jonathan Pintaro that swung the probability 15.1% toward the Nationals, and Keibert Ruiz followed with a single off Cionel Pérez worth another 9.2%, producing a four-run home half that put Washington ahead 6-3. Carson Benge kept New York relevant with a home run off Alvarez in the fifth that shifted the Mets' odds by 10.7%, but Crews extinguished any remaining doubt with a solo home run off Justin Hagenman in the seventh, a swing worth 11.9% that pushed the Nationals comfortably ahead.

Crews finished as the game's most impactful player at +23.7% WPA and +1.9 RE24, his walk and home run serving as the structural pillars of the Washington victory. Benge matched him at +1.9 RE24 while contributing +18.8% WPA in a losing effort, and Bichette added +15.8% WPA with a game-high +2.7 RE24 for New York. On the mound, Josiah Gray led all pitchers with +15.2% WPA, supported by Gus Varland at +8.6% and Yovanny Cruz at +8.5%, as Washington's pitching staff collectively held firm against a Mets lineup that finished with nine hits but fell one run short.