Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the San Francisco Giants 2-0 at Oracle Park on September 25, 2026, handing the home team a defeat that the DiamondIQ model's estimate made all but certain by the final out, with San Francisco's pre-game win probability of 34% collapsing to 0%. All of Los Angeles's damage came in the second inning off Giants reliever Yunior Marte, when Teoscar Hernandez and Andy Pages hit back-to-back home runs that accounted for both runs of the game. The Hernandez shot added 4.9% to the Dodgers' win probability while the Pages blast contributed an additional 4.8%, the two swings in sequence effectively deciding a contest that neither team's offense would threaten to alter afterward. Kyle Tucker's flyout to open the first inning had briefly shifted 5.3% of win probability toward San Francisco, but Marte could not hold the Dodgers in check long enough to matter.

The pitching side of the ledger told the fuller story of Los Angeles's dominance. Tarik Skubal led all pitchers with a 36.0% WPA contribution, followed by Roki Sasaki at 13.3% and Marte at 10.5% despite surrendering both runs. Sasaki's best individual moment came in the bottom of the eighth, when he struck out Marcelo Mayer in a spot the DiamondIQ model valued at a 5.6% swing in Los Angeles's favor. The Giants' most meaningful moment arrived only after the game was decided, when Brett Harris lined out in the ninth against Tanner Scott in a play that added 14.4% to San Francisco's win probability in the model's accounting but represented nothing more than a flicker of hope against a shutout already secured. Harris finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 6.8% despite a minus 0.7 RE24, while Pages posted a cleaner plus 6.6% WPA alongside a plus 1.3 RE24 to reflect his run-producing contribution in the second inning.