Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks routed the Colorado Rockies 12-8 at Coors Field on September 24, 2026, building an insurmountable early lead that the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked from a 36 percent pre-game home win probability down to zero by the final out. Arizona poured six runs across in the first inning and added two more in the second, effectively burying Colorado before the game found its footing. The Rockies managed to claw back with four runs in the seventh and two in the eighth, but the deficit was never seriously threatened, as the D-backs finished with 18 hits against zero errors to Colorado's 17 hits and zero errors in a game that was more competitive on the scoreboard than the flow ever suggested.
The decisive swings in win probability came in the game's opening frames. Eduardo Rodriguez was the central figure for Arizona on the mound, finishing with a WPA of plus-18.2 percent, the single largest pitching contribution of the night. His strikeout of Jordan Beck in the bottom of the second represented a minus-9.0 percent win-probability shift against Colorado, and his flyout of TJ Rumfield in the bottom of the first carried a minus-7.6 percent swing, meaning Rodriguez effectively shut down Colorado's two best early scoring opportunities. On the offensive side, Corbin Carroll's groundout in the top of the second generated a plus-8.3 percent WPA swing, and Tim Tawa's flyout in the top of the first added plus-6.8 percent, both productive outs that contributed to Arizona's run-scoring sequences against Tanner Gordon.
Among position players, Carroll led Arizona with plus-8.3 percent WPA, while Cole Carrigg posted the strongest run-expectancy contribution at plus-3.1 RE24, making him the most impactful bat in terms of actual run production context. Tawa added plus-6.7 percent WPA despite a minus-1.2 RE24, reflecting the situational value of his plate appearances beyond raw run creation. Jordan Romano and Juan Mejia contributed minimally in relief but preserved the outcome. Ezequiel Tovar's strikeout to end the ninth, a plus-2.4 percent WPA play for Arizona, closed out a game the D-backs had controlled from the opening pitch.