Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the Philadelphia Phillies a 4-1 defeat at Citizens Bank Park on September 23, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Philadelphia win falling from 46% before first pitch to 0% by the final out. Milwaukee scored in each of the first three innings to build a lead the Phillies never seriously threatened, and the Brewers' pitching staff held that advantage with authority through nine frames.

The decisive moment came in the top of the third inning, when William Contreras delivered a single off Aaron Nola that swung win probability 15.9 percentage points in Milwaukee's favor, the single largest play of the game by that measure. Contreras finished as the Brewers' most impactful offensive contributor, accumulating a WPA of plus-15.7 and an RE24 of plus-1.8. Philadelphia briefly showed life in the second inning when Bryson Stott hit a double off Logan Henderson that moved the Phillies' win probability up 8.1 points, and Stott ended the night as Philadelphia's most valuable offensive player with a WPA of plus-14.3 and an RE24 of plus-1.6. However, a Luis Arraez groundout in the bottom of the seventh against DL Hall erased 8.3 percentage points of Philadelphia's remaining probability, and a Bryce Harper flyout in the fifth off Henderson subtracted another 7.2.

On the mound, Logan Henderson was the Brewers' most important performer, generating a WPA of plus-16.4 as he navigated the Philadelphia lineup and kept Kyle Schwarber's seventh-inning walk from developing into anything consequential. DL Hall added plus-12.3 WPA out of the bullpen, and Abner Uribe contributed plus-5.2 to close things out. Milwaukee's pitching staff allowed just one run on six hits against a Phillies lineup that could not string together enough damage to overcome the early deficit.