Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds blanked the Atlanta Braves 4-0 at Truist Park on September 22, 2026, holding a team the DiamondIQ model had given a 66 percent pre-game win probability to completely scoreless through nine innings. Cincinnati's offense did its damage in isolated bursts, with solo home runs in the third, sixth, seventh, and eighth innings providing all the scoring the Reds would need. The Braves managed seven hits but could not convert any of them into runs against a Cincinnati pitching staff that dominated from first pitch to last.

The two biggest offensive moments belonged to Elly De La Cruz and Dane Myers. De La Cruz got the Reds on the board in the third inning with a home run off JR Ritchie that swung win probability 10.9 percent in Cincinnati's favor. Myers then delivered the critical blow in the sixth, connecting off Owen Murphy for a home run that shifted the win probability another 13.5 percent toward the Reds. On the Atlanta side, Mauricio Dubón was at the center of the game's most damaging negative swings, grounding into a double play in the fifth inning against Brandon Williamson at a cost of 10.4 percent win probability, then striking out in the seventh against Brock Burke for a further 6.3 percent drop.

The story of the game ultimately belonged to Brandon Williamson, whose performance accounted for a staggering plus-38.5 percent in WPA, easily the largest contribution of any player on either side. Brock Burke added 6.3 percent in relief support. Offensively, De La Cruz led all batters at plus-13.4 percent WPA with a 1.4 RE24, while Myers checked in at plus-9.1 percent and Drake Baldwin contributed plus-5.2 percent. The DiamondIQ model closed at zero percent for Atlanta, reflecting a shutout that was never seriously threatened.