Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 2 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Colorado Rockies 7-2 at Coors Field on September 22, 2026, in a game that was effectively decided early. The DiamondIQ model's estimate gave Colorado a 37% chance of winning before first pitch, a number that collapsed to 0% by game's end. Arizona erupted for three runs in the first inning and added another in the third, building a lead that Kyle Freeland and the Rockies' offense could never overcome. The Diamondbacks finished with 13 hits against just three for Colorado, and Arizona's two errors were rendered irrelevant by the margin of victory.
The third inning contained the game's most consequential sequence. Tim Tawa's double in the top half was the second-largest win-probability swing of the game at plus-6.8%, extending Arizona's advantage against Freeland before Ildemaro Vargas added a run-producing single in the fourth worth plus-5.2% to Colorado's window. In the bottom of the third, Mickey Moniak's home run off Michael Soroka registered the single biggest play of the night at plus-7.8%, and Troy Johnston followed with a double worth plus-6.1%, briefly making it a game. However, Cole Carrigg's strikeout double play in the second inning, a minus-5.6% swing against the Rockies, had already blunted an early Colorado threat and set the tone for a frustrating night at the plate.
Among individual performers, Tim Tawa led all batters with a plus-8.7% WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.1, while Troy Johnston contributed plus-6.8% WPA and plus-0.9 RE24. Mickey Moniak posted plus-5.9% WPA despite his home run being the biggest single batting play of the game, reflecting how efficiently Arizona's lineup distributed its damage. On the mound, Michael Soroka was the standout performer by win-probability added at plus-15.5%, absorbing the Diamondbacks' seven runs while still generating enough outs to accumulate the game's top pitching figure, a testament to how thoroughly Arizona's bats dominated the supporting cast. Juan Mejia and Juan Morillo combined for negligible WPA impact in relief.