MLB Recap · September 22, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

MIL4
Final
PHI6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL000102001462
PHI02100003-680

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 6-4 at Citizens Bank Park on September 22, 2026, overcoming an early deficit and rallying through the middle and late innings to secure the win. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Philadelphia a 47% chance of winning at home, but by the final out that estimate had climbed to 100%, reflecting how thoroughly the Phillies seized control as the game progressed.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the eighth inning, when Bryson Stott delivered a single off Colton Gordon that shifted win probability by +33.2%, the single largest swing of the night and the play that effectively put the game away. That moment capped a Phillies rally that plated three runs in the frame and turned a competitive game into a comfortable margin. Earlier, Milwaukee had threatened to take control in the top of the sixth when William Contreras singled off Zack Wheeler to produce a +20.3% swing in the Brewers' favor, the most damaging Brewers plate appearance of the game. Philadelphia's foundation had been laid much earlier, when Brandon Marsh hit a home run off Dustin May in the bottom of the second for a +12.7% swing, and Alec Bohm added a double off Kyle Harrison in the third for another +8.5% boost. Milwaukee's best chance to flip the game was erased in the bottom of the seventh when Derek Hill grounded into a double play off Colton Gordon, a -11.6% swing that deflated whatever momentum the Phillies had allowed to build.

On the individual side, Stott led all position players with a +30.1% WPA and +1.3 RE24, while Marsh posted the game's best RE24 among batters at +2.4 to go with his +16.0% WPA. Contreras finished with +18.0% WPA and +1.3 RE24 in a losing effort. Among pitchers, Alex McFarlane was the standout for Philadelphia, contributing +16.5% WPA to anchor the Phillies bullpen. Milwaukee's errors, two on the night against none for Philadelphia, added further strain to a road team that could not sustain its late offensive pushes.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalPHI win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 46.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bryson Stott — Single
Bot 8th · off Colton Gordon
+33.2%
Top 6th · off Zack Wheeler
+20.3%
Brandon Marsh — Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Dustin May
+12.7%
Derek Hill — Grounded Into DP
Bot 7th · off Colton Gordon
-11.6%
Alec Bohm — Double
Bot 3rd · off Kyle Harrison
+8.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Bryson Stott+30.1%+1.3 RE24
William Contreras+18.0%+1.3 RE24
Brandon Marsh+16.0%+2.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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