Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets handed the Philadelphia Phillies a 10-3 defeat at Citi Field on September 19, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate made look inevitable by the final out, with win probability climbing from a pre-game 45 percent in favor of New York all the way to 100 percent. The game turned decisively in the bottom of the fifth inning, when Francisco Alvarez launched a home run off Andrew Painter that registered the single largest win-probability swing of the night at plus 27.1 percent, effectively seizing the momentum of the contest for the Mets. New York added two more runs in that frame before extending its lead with two in the sixth and four in the eighth, while Philadelphia's best offensive moment came in the top of the fifth when Alec Bohm singled off Jefry Yan for a plus 7.9 percent swing that briefly kept the Phillies competitive.

Alvarez finished as the night's top performer by WPA at plus 25.6 percent to go with a RE24 of plus 1.6, underscoring just how pivotal his fifth-inning blast proved to be. Brett Baty contributed meaningfully as well, posting a plus 17.0 percent WPA and the best RE24 among batters at plus 1.8, including a key single off Brooks Raley in the sixth that extended the New York advantage. Bohm was the lone bright spot for Philadelphia, finishing with a plus 17.4 percent WPA and a plus 1.2 RE24, though his efforts ultimately went unrewarded in a lopsided final. On the mound, Jonathan Pintaro led New York's pitching staff with a plus 5.0 percent WPA, aided in part by Bryson Stott's groundout in the top of the seventh that carried a minus 9.2 percent swing against the Phillies, further draining any remaining hope of a Philadelphia comeback.