Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| SD | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres walked off the Miami Marlins 7-6 in ten innings on September 19, 2026, at Petco Park, erasing a late deficit to claim the victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving San Diego a 60 percent chance of winning and closed at 100 percent following the walk-off, though the path there was anything but smooth. Miami grabbed the lead with a three-run second inning and added two more in the third before San Diego answered with three of its own in the same frame, keeping the game close through the middle stages. Fernando Tatis Jr. gave the home side a boost with a fourth-inning home run off Eury Pérez, a swing worth plus-11.9 percent in win probability, as the two clubs traded single runs over the next several innings.
The most dramatic sequence of the night came in the ninth, when Griffin Conine delivered the single biggest swing of the game, a solo home run off Mason Miller that added 35.7 percent in win probability and sent Miami back in front heading into the bottom half. That blow overshadowed Kyle Stowers' strikeout against Miller one inning earlier, which had cost the Marlins 13.2 percent in win probability at a pivotal moment. San Diego forced extra innings and then finished things in the tenth against Josh Ekness, with Ethan Salas delivering a single worth plus-16.4 percent before Sung-Mun Song's strikeout sealed it for the Padres at plus-19.5 percent as Miami stranded the tying run.
On the pitching side, Randy Vásquez led San Diego's staff with plus-11.4 percent in WPA, followed by Bradgley Rodriguez at plus-7.1 percent and Calvin Faucher at plus-5.4 percent, a collective effort that stabilized the bullpen after the Marlins' early offensive burst. Offensively, Conine was the standout individual performer despite being on the losing side, finishing at plus-35.7 percent WPA and plus-1.0 RE24. For San Diego, Otto Lopez led all position players with plus-17.2 percent WPA and a game-high plus-1.7 RE24, and Song's late contribution proved to be the final nail in a back-and-forth contest that came down to the final out.