MLB Recap · September 19, 2026

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

SF4
Final
LAD10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF002110000482
LAD11113300-10150

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San Francisco Giants 10-4 on September 19, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate anticipated from the outset, assigning the home side a 73% pre-game win probability that climbed to 100% by the final out. Los Angeles built its advantage gradually through the early innings before pulling away decisively, finishing with 15 hits against San Francisco's error-prone defense, which committed two miscues on the night.

The game's most consequential sequence unfolded across the third through fifth innings, where the lead changed hands and the Dodgers ultimately wrestled control for good. Victor Bericoto gave the Giants a temporary foothold with a home run off Tarik Skubal in the top of the third, a swing that represented a plus-17.4% win-probability shift in San Francisco's favor. Los Angeles answered quickly, as Will Smith connected for a home run off Yunior Marte in the bottom half of the inning, adding plus-10.6% to the Dodgers' win probability. Mookie Betts extended the damage in the fourth with a double off Marte worth plus-13.0%, and the decisive blow came in the fifth when Tommy Edman singled off Philip Abner for another plus-17.4% swing, effectively closing the door on any Giants rally. Max Muncy's grounded into double play in that same fifth inning trimmed momentum by minus-9.2%, but Los Angeles had enough cushion to absorb it.

Bericoto led all position players with a plus-25.0% WPA and plus-2.1 RE24 despite pitching for the losing side, while Betts paced the Dodgers with a plus-24.0% WPA and a game-high plus-3.6 RE24. Will Smith contributed plus-17.4% WPA and plus-1.4 RE24 out of the catcher's spot. On the mound, Evan Phillips was the most impactful reliever in the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting plus-5.0% WPA in support of the victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalLAD win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 72.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tommy Edman — Single
Bot 5th · off Philip Abner
+17.4%
Victor Bericoto — Home Run
Top 3rd · off Tarik Skubal
+17.4%
Mookie Betts — Double
Bot 4th · off Yunior Marte
+13.0%
Will Smith — Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Yunior Marte
+10.6%
Max Muncy — Grounded Into DP
Bot 5th · off Yunior Marte
-9.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Victor Bericoto+25.0%+2.1 RE24
Mookie Betts+24.0%+3.6 RE24
Will Smith+17.4%+1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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