Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies blanked the New York Mets 3-0 at Citi Field on September 17, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate made increasingly inevitable as the game progressed, finishing at a 0% win probability for the home side after opening at 44%. Aaron Nola was the central force behind the outcome, generating a staggering +36.0% WP over the course of his outing and allowing just four hits while the Mets' error compounded their offensive futility. The game's single most damaging sequence for New York came in the bottom of the sixth, when Francisco Lindor grounded into a double play off Nola, a moment that swung win probability 10.6 percentage points against the Mets and effectively extinguished any realistic path to a rally.

On the offensive side, Bryce Harper was Philadelphia's most consequential bat, accumulating +21.9% WP and +1.8 RE24 across his contributions. His fifth-inning single off Nolan McLean was the game's biggest positive swing from the batting team's perspective at +9.9%, and he added an eighth-percentage-point nudge with a walk against Tobias Myers in the seventh. McLean, making his own mark despite the loss, posted +18.3% WP for New York's pitching staff, though the Phillies still pushed across single runs in the fifth, seventh, and eighth innings. Nolan McLean's night was defined as much by the swings that went against him, including a Luis Arraez lineout in the fifth that cost the Mets 6.3 percentage points and a Garrett Stubbs strikeout in the sixth worth minus 6.0 points, moments that underscored how thoroughly Philadelphia controlled the game's critical junctures.