Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Cincinnati Reds 4-1 at Great American Ball Park on September 14, 2026, holding the Reds to a single run across nine innings while building an early cushion that the DiamondIQ model's estimate never relinquished. The Dodgers entered with a 60 percent pre-game win probability, and that edge only grew as the game progressed, finishing with the model's estimate at 100 percent in favor of Los Angeles.
The decisive sequence came in the fourth inning when Teoscar Hernández turned on a Nick Lodolo offering for a home run, the single most impactful play of the game at plus 19.6 percent in win probability. That swing gave the Dodgers a cushion they would not surrender, and Teoscar Hernández finished as the game's top offensive contributor with a plus 19.7 percent WPA and plus 1.8 RE24. Enrique Hernández added to the damage with a seventh-inning single off Lodolo that registered plus 5.9 percent in win probability, and he finished with plus 8.1 percent WPA on the night. Kyle Tucker also contributed steadily, posting plus 5.7 percent WPA and plus 1.4 RE24. Cincinnati's most damaging moment came in the third inning when Josue De Paula grounded into a double play off Lodolo, swinging the odds minus 7.2 percent against the Reds' own chances of getting back into the game.
Tarik Skubal was the dominant force on the mound, leading all pitchers with a plus 28.5 percent WPA in a performance that suppressed the Reds throughout, including a pivotal fifth-inning strikeout of Ke'Bryan Hayes that shifted win probability by minus 5.9 percent against Cincinnati. Alex Vesia and Tony Santillan each contributed in relief, adding plus 1.2 and plus 0.3 percent WPA respectively. The Reds managed four hits but could not string together anything consequential until a meaningless Tyler Stephenson groundout in the ninth, and Los Angeles finished with a clean three-hit, zero-error effort that translated efficiently into four runs against a Cincinnati club that could not recover from the early deficit.