New York Mets at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees defeated the New York Mets 2-0 on September 13, 2026, at Yankee Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a New York win climbing from 65% before the game to a certainty by the final out. The Yankees manufactured both of their runs in the first and third innings, and the Mets never threatened seriously enough to shift the probability landscape in their favor, finishing with just three hits across nine innings.

The game's single most consequential moment came in the bottom of the third, when Austin Wells connected on a home run off Christian Scott, a swing that added 9.4% to the Yankees' win probability and effectively served as the back-breaker in what was already a low-scoring affair. The Mets mounted their most credible threat in the top of the eighth, when Francisco Alvarez singled off Paul Blackburn for a 7.1% positive swing, but the rally collapsed immediately as Brett Baty flew out and Nick Morabito grounded into a forceout, erasing 6.3% and 5.3% in win probability respectively. David Bednar closed out the ninth, with Carson Benge's forceout costing the Mets a final 4.6% swing and ending any remaining hope.

Cam Schlittler led all pitchers with a remarkable plus-23.0% WPA, underscoring just how dominant the Yankees' pitching staff was collectively in suppressing the Mets offense. Christian Scott posted a plus-8.9% WPA despite surrendering the Wells homer, reflecting an otherwise solid outing, while Paul Blackburn added plus-8.1% by navigating the eighth-inning threat. At the plate, Wells led position players with a plus-6.7% WPA and plus-0.6 RE24, Alvarez finished at plus-4.2% WPA despite his zero RE24, and Bo Bichette contributed a plus-3.2% WPA in a game where every baserunner proved precious.