San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| SF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres held off a late San Francisco rally to win 7-6 at Oracle Park on September 12, 2026, completing a tense nine innings that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Giants victory fall from 42 percent before first pitch all the way to zero. San Diego built its lead incrementally, with Jackson Merrill's home run off Cesar Perdomo in the third inning adding 10.6 percent to the Padres' win probability and Jake Cronenworth's single off Perdomo in the fifth contributing another 10.0 percent. San Francisco answered with three runs in the eighth to claw back into contention, highlighted by Drew Gilbert's home run off Bradgley Rodriguez, which swung win probability 24.2 percent in the Giants' favor and briefly made Oracle Park a genuine threat for a comeback.
The Padres' bullpen ultimately sealed the outcome. Adrian Morejon was the most impactful pitcher on the night by WPA, contributing 23.3 percent to San Diego's win probability, in part by inducing Jonah Cox into a groundout in the eighth that checked the Giants' momentum at a cost of 12.9 percent to San Francisco's chances. Mason Miller then closed out the ninth, striking out Nate Furman to end the game in the single play with the largest win-probability swing of the night at 31.6 percent. Michael King and Carson Seymour added 8.1 and 3.6 percent respectively to the Padres' pitching ledger.
Among position players, Fernando Tatis Jr. was San Diego's most productive offensive contributor by cumulative WPA, finishing at plus-23.0 percent with a run expectancy figure of plus-3.1 RE24, while Drew Gilbert led all Giants hitters at plus-19.6 percent WPA despite the loss. Furman's strikeout gave him the single-game WPA lead at plus-31.6 percent from the pitching matchup in the ninth, though his RE24 of minus-0.1 reflected a night that was quiet until that final confrontation. San Diego out-hit San Francisco 13 to 8 and committed no errors against the Giants' one, and the Padres' line of at least one run in six consecutive innings from the second through the seventh proved to be the structural advantage that the bullpen preserved.