MLB Recap · September 12, 2026

New York Mets at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

NYM12
Final
NYY2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYM12101015112140
NYY000101000270

The Story

The New York Mets handed the Yankees a lopsided 12-2 defeat at Yankee Stadium on September 12, 2026, erasing the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 64 percent home win probability and driving it to zero by the final out. New York built its lead methodically, scoring in seven of nine innings and never allowing the Yankees to mount any sustained threat. The Mets' 14 hits against a New York pitching staff that surrendered runs from the first frame set the tone early, and a five-run eighth inning put the game firmly beyond reach.

The decisive stretch came in the second inning, where Luis Torrens deposited a home run off Gerrit Cole that shifted win probability by 8.7 percent in the Mets' favor, and a Juan Soto strikeout on the Yankees' side added another 8.5 percent swing as Zac Thornton kept New York off the board. Carson Benge then drove a home run off Cole in the third for a 7.3 percent win-probability addition, compounding the early damage. On the other side of the ledger, Spencer Jones' strikeout in the bottom of the second was the single costliest play of the game for the Yankees, a minus-11.5 percent swing, and Anthony Volpe's double-play groundout in the seventh off Thornton erased another 8.4 percent from New York's dwindling chances.

Thornton was the standout performer on the night, posting a plus-28.6 percent WPA from the mound to lead all players. Soto led Mets position players with a plus-19.5 percent WPA and a 1.0 RE24, while Benge contributed plus-15.5 percent WPA and a 1.1 RE24. Torrens added plus-9.6 percent WPA and topped the group with a 2.5 RE24, making him the most impactful run-context contributor at the plate. Ryan Yarbrough provided additional pitching value at plus-4.7 percent WPA as the Mets' staff collectively neutralized a Yankees lineup that managed seven hits but converted almost none of them into meaningful run-scoring situations.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYM bats firstFinalNYY win %NYM win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 64.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Spencer Jones — Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Zac Thornton
-11.5%
Luis Torrens — Home Run
Top 2nd · off Gerrit Cole
+8.7%
Juan Soto — Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Gerrit Cole
+8.5%
Anthony Volpe — Grounded Into DP
Bot 7th · off Zac Thornton
-8.4%
Carson Benge — Home Run
Top 3rd · off Gerrit Cole
+7.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Juan Soto+19.5%+1.0 RE24
Carson Benge+15.5%+1.1 RE24
Luis Torrens+9.6%+2.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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