MLB Recap · September 11, 2026

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

SD7
Final
SF5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SD0250000007120
SF100040000561

The Story

The San Diego Padres held off the San Francisco Giants 7-5 at Oracle Park on September 11, 2026, building a five-run lead through three innings before surviving a four-run Giants rally in the fifth to secure the road victory. San Diego scored twice in the second and put up a five-spot in the third to seize early control, while the Giants entered the game with a 42 percent win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate, a figure that dropped to zero by the final out.

The decisive sequence of the game centered on the fifth inning, when Rafael Devers connected on a home run off Robbie Ray that added 16.9 percent to San Francisco's win probability, representing the single largest swing of the night and the heart of the Giants' comeback attempt. Devers finished as the game's most impactful bat overall, accumulating a combined 23.9 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.1, with his ninth-inning walk off Mason Miller adding another 10.3 percent to the Giants' chances in a moment that briefly kept the rally alive. Bryce Eldridge contributed a double off Bradgley Rodriguez in the eighth worth 12.4 percent WPA, and Dustin Harris posted the strongest RE24 of any batter on either side at plus-2.6, good for 10.4 percent WPA.

San Diego's bullpen ultimately suffocated the Giants' late threats. Bradgley Rodriguez led all pitchers with 13.3 percent WPA despite issuing the Eldridge double, as strikeouts of Drew Gilbert and Osleivis Basabe in the eighth — swings of minus-9.7 and minus-9.2 percent respectively from San Francisco's perspective — extinguished the most dangerous San Francisco threat. Yunior Marte added 13.1 percent WPA and Adrian Morejon contributed 8.8 percent, the trio combining to strand any remaining Giants momentum and close out a game San Diego never truly relinquished despite the fifth-inning scare.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SD bats firstFinalSF win %SD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 42.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Rafael Devers — Home Run
Bot 5th · off Robbie Ray
+16.9%
Bryce Eldridge — Double
Bot 8th · off Bradgley Rodriguez
+12.4%
Rafael Devers — Walk
Bot 9th · off Mason Miller
+10.3%
Drew Gilbert — Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Bradgley Rodriguez
-9.7%
Osleivis Basabe — Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Bradgley Rodriguez
-9.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Rafael Devers+23.9%+2.1 RE24
Bryce Eldridge+11.9%+0.3 RE24
Dustin Harris+10.4%+2.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →