Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 3 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Atlanta Braves defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 on September 10, 2026, at Truist Park in a game that remained scoreless through seven innings before breaking open entirely in the bottom of the eighth. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Atlanta a 53% win probability, a figure that barely moved until the Braves' decisive eighth-inning rally pushed it to 100%.
The game's turning point arrived emphatically in the bottom of the eighth against Rays reliever Kevin Kelly. Ozzie Albies delivered the biggest swing of the night, lacing a triple that shifted win probability by plus 14.3 percentage points in Atlanta's favor. Ha-Seong Kim followed with a single worth plus 10.2 points, and Mike Yastrzemski added a double that contributed another plus 7.4 points before Austin Riley extended the inning further with a single registering plus 8.8 points. All three Atlanta runs scored in that frame, turning a tense pitcher's duel into a decided outcome. The lone significant negative swing of the evening came in the bottom of the sixth, when Drake Baldwin's flyout off Nick Martinez cost the Braves 7.4 percentage points of win probability, briefly stalling what had been a prolonged offensive silence.
On the pitching side, Martín Pérez led all pitchers with a plus 36.2% WPA contribution, while Nick Martinez added plus 34.1%, with both starters collectively responsible for keeping Tampa Bay off the board through most of the contest. Rays starter Didier Fuentes contributed plus 10.6% WPA in his portion of the game. Tampa Bay managed a consolation run in the ninth but finished with just five hits and left the field having been shut out until the final frame.