Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners held off the Texas Rangers 4-3 at T-Mobile Park on September 10, 2026, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had as a coin flip before first pitch, with Seattle carrying a 52 percent pre-game win probability that eventually closed at 100 percent. The game turned almost entirely on a single inning. Texas had taken a 3-0 lead on Joc Pederson's third-inning home run off Logan Gilbert, which shifted win probability by 20.0 percentage points in the Rangers' favor, and added another run in the fifth to go up 3-0. Seattle answered emphatically in the bottom of the seventh, when the Mariners scored all four of their runs against Jakob Junis. Dominic Canzone's single was part of the sequence, adding 13.0 percentage points, but the decisive blow was Julio Rodríguez's home run, the single largest swing of the game at plus 38.7 percentage points, that erased the deficit and gave Seattle a lead it would not relinquish.

Rodríguez finished as the game's most impactful offensive player by a wide margin, posting a WPA of plus 35.8 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.1. Pederson was the standout for Texas with a WPA of plus 15.1 percent and an RE24 of plus 0.8, while Evan Carter contributed a WPA of plus 8.2 percent. On the mound, Jacob deGrom led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 28.7 percent, with Andrés Muñoz closing it out and adding 15.2 percentage points despite inducing two negative-WPA outs from Jake Burger, whose forceout in the ninth carried a minus 13.5 percentage point swing, and Ezequiel Duran, whose groundout cost minus 7.1 percentage points. Gabe Speier also contributed 10.8 percentage points on the pitching side as Seattle's bullpen protected the one-run advantage through the final frames.