MLB Recap · September 9, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

TOR0
Final
ATH2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TOR000000000060
ATH00110000-240

The Story

The Athletics defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 2-0 on September 9, 2026, at Sutter Health Park, with Oakland's pitching staff controlling the game from start to finish and the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win probability climbing from 44 percent before the first pitch all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The two runs Toronto surrendered in the third and fourth innings proved to be all Oakland ever needed, as the Blue Jays were held to six hits and never threatened to score.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the third, when Henry Bolte connected on a home run off Michael Lorenzen, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 10.9 percent in the Athletics' favor. Toronto had its best chance to respond in the fifth, when Nathan Lukes singled off Scott Blewett to generate a plus 5.5 percent swing for the Blue Jays, but Vladimir Guerrero Jr. immediately erased that opportunity by grounding into a double play on the same at-bat sequence, a minus 13.3 percent swing that effectively ended any realistic Toronto threat. Kazuma Okamoto compounded the damage with another double play in the sixth, costing the Blue Jays another 10.5 percent in win probability off Blewett.

Among Oakland's standouts, Bolte led all batters with a plus 9.1 percent WPA and plus 0.4 RE24, while Max Muncy contributed plus 7.2 percent WPA and a game-high plus 0.9 RE24. On the mound, Brady Basso was the most impactful pitcher in the game at plus 18.8 percent WPA, supported by Scott Blewett at plus 12.3 percent and Hogan Harris at plus 8.1 percent, a collective effort that kept Toronto off the scoreboard entirely.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TOR bats firstFinalATH win %TOR win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 44.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Grounded Into DP
Top 5th · off Scott Blewett
-13.3%
Henry Bolte — Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Michael Lorenzen
+10.9%
Kazuma Okamoto — Grounded Into DP
Top 6th · off Scott Blewett
-10.5%
Brandon Valenzuela — Strikeout
Top 4th · off Brady Basso
-5.8%
Nathan Lukes — Single
Top 5th · off Scott Blewett
+5.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Henry Bolte+9.1%+0.4 RE24
Max Muncy+7.2%+0.9 RE24
Donovan Walton+6.0%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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