Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

Boston handed Los Angeles a 5-2 defeat at Fenway Park on September 7, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model anticipated from the outset, setting the Red Sox's pre-game home win probability at 71% before watching it climb to 100% by the final out. The game was effectively decided in the bottom of the second inning, when Boston erupted for four runs against Grayson Rodriguez in what became the decisive frame of the night. Adley Rutschman delivered the most impactful blow of the game, a home run that shifted win probability by 15.9 percentage points in Boston's favor, and Jarren Duran followed with a home run of his own that added another 7.4 points. Those two swings off Rodriguez transformed what had been a scoreless game into a commanding lead Boston would never relinquish, and the Angels added a consolation run each in the sixth and eighth innings against Boston's bullpen without ever threatening to close the gap.

Rutschman finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a WPA of plus 14.8 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.0, while Duran contributed plus 7.2 percent WPA and plus 0.9 RE24. The lone bright spot in the Los Angeles lineup was Moisés Ballesteros, who ended with a net WPA of plus 5.8 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.5 despite a costly pop out in the top of the third that cost the Angels 6.1 percentage points of win probability against Brayan Bello. Ballesteros partially offset that miscue with a double in the top of the eighth off Alec Gamboa worth plus 6.1 points. On the mound, Bello led Boston's pitching staff with a WPA of plus 2.9 percent, followed by Garrett Whitlock at plus 2.4 and Wyatt Olds at plus 2.2, as the Red Sox collectively held Los Angeles to six hits and committed no errors in a clean and controlled home victory.