Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Cleveland Guardians walked off the Detroit Tigers 3-2 in ten innings on September 6, 2026, at Progressive Field, completing a tight low-scoring game that the DiamondIQ model had opened with a 59 percent pre-game home win probability before closing at 100 percent. Cleveland scored first in the bottom of the first, Detroit answered with two runs of their own to take a brief lead, and Brayan Rocchio's solo home run off Jackson Jobe in the bottom of the fifth tied the game at two and kept the Guardians alive. The game then went scoreless through the sixth, seventh, eighth, and ninth innings before Cleveland ended it in extras.
The decisive sequence unfolded across the final two innings. In the top of the tenth, John Peck's strikeout at the hands of Cade Smith represented a plus-14.3 percent swing in Cleveland's favor, preserving the Guardians' position with the free runner on base. Angel Genao's groundout in the bottom of the ninth had already contributed a plus-14.0 percent swing by limiting damage against Kenley Jansen, keeping the game level. Then in the bottom of the tenth, Patrick Bailey delivered a walk-off single off Kyle Finnegan that registered as the game's single largest win-probability swing at plus-29.5 percent, ending the contest. Jo Adell's groundout in the eighth, a negative-11.3 percent swing off Tyler Kinley, had briefly threatened Cleveland's positioning before Kinley escaped.
Bailey finished as the top batter by WPA at plus-18.0 percent with a plus-0.2 RE24, while Kevin McGonigle contributed plus-13.5 percent WPA and plus-0.4 RE24. Rocchio's fifth-inning home run left him at plus-10.3 percent WPA and plus-0.8 RE24, the highest run-expectancy figure among Cleveland's position players. On the mound, Jackson Jobe led all pitchers with a plus-17.2 percent WPA despite surrendering the Rocchio homer, followed by Gavin Williams at plus-15.4 percent and Kinley at plus-11.3 percent, reflecting how effectively Detroit's staff kept the Guardians contained until the extras.