Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the Chicago White Sox 6-4 at Rate Field on September 5, 2026, overcoming a 3-0 deficit that the White Sox built in the first inning to claim the road victory. The DiamondIQ model had opened with a 58% pre-game win probability favoring Chicago, but Minnesota steadily dismantled that advantage across the middle innings before finishing with a 100% terminal probability in their favor.

The decisive sequence unfolded in the fourth and fifth innings. Brooks Lee started the swing with a double off Anthony Kay in the top of the fourth, a hit the DiamondIQ model credited with a plus-11.6% win-probability shift. The bigger blow came an inning later when Ryan Jeffers connected on a home run off Kay, a swing worth plus-28.4% in win probability and the single largest play of the game. Kaelen Culpepper extended the lead further with a double off Sean Newcomb in the seventh, adding another plus-14.6% swing. Chicago answered with a Miguel Vargas single off Taj Bradley in the bottom of the fifth that carried a plus-10.7% impact, but the White Sox could not sustain the rally. The final threat was snuffed out when Tristan Peters popped out against Yoendrys Gómez to close the ninth, a sequence the model registered as a plus-14.4% win-probability shift toward Minnesota.

Jeffers led all batters with a plus-22.2% cumulative WPA and a plus-1.5 RE24, anchoring what became a decisive middle-inning uprising. Culpepper finished at plus-15.9% WPA with a plus-1.2 RE24, and Peters posted plus-16.2% WPA, largely on the strength of the late-game sequencing. On the mound, Jeff Hoffman was the standout reliever at plus-14.3% WPA, supported by Kody Funderburk at plus-7.9% and A.J. Minter at plus-7.8% as Minnesota's bullpen held Chicago's lineup in check through the final frames.