Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
The Story
The Boston Red Sox blanked the Baltimore Orioles 1-0 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 4, 2026, scoring their lone run in the first inning and making it stand across nine tense frames. Boston finished with five hits and committed no errors, while Baltimore managed six hits but was done in by two errors of their own. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with Baltimore holding a 48 percent home win probability, a figure that ultimately fell all the way to zero as the Red Sox bullpen and lineup managed just enough.
The game's most consequential sequence came in the bottom of the ninth, where Aroldis Chapman navigated the final moments of a shutout under significant pressure. Christian Encarnacion-Strand's lineout, which carried a win-probability swing of plus 31.6 percent in Baltimore's favor, represented the closest the Orioles came to breaking through, but Chapman induced a groundout from Pete Alonso to end the threat, a play that swung win probability by minus 8.5 percent against Baltimore. An inning earlier in the bottom of the eighth, Luis Robert Jr. grounded into a double play off Garrett Whitlock, a crushing minus 24.2 percent swing that effectively extinguished the Orioles' best scoring threat of the night, even after Blaze Alexander had given Baltimore hope with a single that registered plus 8.6 percent in their favor.
On the individual ledger, Ranger Suarez was the game's most impactful performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, contributing plus 45.3 percent in win probability, while Whitlock added plus 23.3 percent and Shane Baz contributed plus 21.8 percent to build and protect the lead. Among position players, Encarnacion-Strand led Baltimore hitters at plus 20.9 percent WPA despite his team falling short, and Blaze Alexander finished at plus 10.7 percent. Mickey Gasper paced Boston's offensive contributors with plus 5.6 percent WPA and a plus 1.4 RE24, reflecting his efficiency in run-environment terms on a night when every base runner carried outsized importance.