Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| CIN | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Cincinnati Reds 10-7 at Great American Ball Park on September 4, 2026, handing Cincinnati a loss the DiamondIQ model's estimate had assigned just a 39 percent pre-game probability for Milwaukee to avoid. The Brewers overcame an early Cincinnati advantage, as the Reds scored in each of the first three innings and briefly held a lead after Eugenio Suárez connected on a three-run home run off Shane Drohan in the bottom of the third, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-28.7 percent in Cincinnati's favor and was the single most impactful play of the game. That blow answered a Brice Turang double off Rhett Lowder in the top of the third that had added plus-17.7 percent for Milwaukee, and through three innings the game stood at 4-3 in favor of the Reds.
Milwaukee then seized control in the fifth inning with a five-run outburst that proved decisive. Cooper Pratt's triple off Sam Moll was the centerpice, shifting win probability plus-20.9 percent toward the Brewers, and a Brice Turang hit by pitch in the same frame added another plus-10.9 percent, compounding the damage in an inning Cincinnati could not contain. By the time the Brewers added a run in the sixth, the outcome was effectively settled, and the Reds' lone seventh-inning run was inconsequential. Milwaukee's pitching staff held Cincinnati scoreless over the final six half-innings, with Chad Patrick leading the staff by WPA at plus-9.7 percent, followed by Aaron Ashby at plus-5.2 percent.
Turang finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting plus-29.9 percent WPA and plus-2.9 RE24 across his contributions. Suárez led all Reds batters at plus-26.1 percent WPA and plus-2.6 RE24, though his home run ultimately came on the losing side of a game Cincinnati could not recover from. Pratt rounded out Milwaukee's standout contributors with plus-18.3 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24, his fifth-inning triple serving as the pivot point that tilted the game firmly in the Brewers' direction.