Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 1-0 on September 2, 2026, at Chase Field, with the game's only run coming on a James McCann home run in the bottom of the eighth inning off Jonathan Bowlan. Through seven innings the two teams had combined for zero runs, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate of Arizona winning stood near a coin flip at 50 percent entering play. McCann's solo shot shifted that probability by 18.8 percentage points in Arizona's favor in a single swing, representing the largest win-probability event of the night. Also in the eighth, Lars Nootbaar's strikeout added another 7.8 percentage points to Arizona's advantage by ending a Philadelphia threat. On the other side of the ledger, Trea Turner's sixth-inning double play grounded into off Jose Cabrera cost Philadelphia 7.5 percentage points, and a pair of ninth-inning outs — Kyle Schwarber striking out and Luis Arraez grounding out, both against Juan Morillo — each bled additional probability away from a Phillies rally that never materialized. Philadelphia finished with three hits and an error, Arizona with three hits and none.

Andrew Painter was the standout performer of the night by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, contributing a game-high 37.3 percentage points of win probability added among pitchers, underlining how dominant Arizona's pitching staff was in suppressing a Phillies lineup held to three hits across nine innings. Juan Morillo added 15.2 percentage points in the ninth by closing the door, and Jose Cabrera contributed 13.4 in his own right. Offensively, McCann led all batters with a WPA of plus 16.1 and an RE24 of plus 0.8, with Bryan De La Cruz posting plus 7.0 WPA and plus 0.7 RE24, and Bryce Harper contributing plus 6.8 WPA and plus 0.4 RE24 in a supporting role. The DiamondIQ model's estimate ended at 100 percent in Arizona's favor, a reflection of a well-pitched, tightly controlled game decided entirely by one swing.