St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 8-6 in ten innings at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on September 2, 2026, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 63 percent pre-game home win probability for Los Angeles and ultimately reducing that figure to zero. The game was tightly contested through the middle innings before both clubs broke through in the sixth, with Thomas Saggese's home run off Yoshinobu Yamamoto shifting win probability 17.5 percent toward St. Louis and Mookie Betts answering with a home run off George Soriano that swung 18.4 percent back toward the Dodgers. Leo Bernal then pushed St. Louis back in front with another home run against Yamamoto in the seventh, a swing worth 16.2 percent in win probability, setting up a Cardinals lead that held into extra innings.

The tenth inning delivered the decisive damage against reliever Brock Stewart. Nathan Church's single carried a 32.0 percent win-probability swing, the largest single play of the game, and Joshua Báez followed with a double worth an additional 18.4 percent as the Cardinals plated three runs to take an 8-5 advantage. Los Angeles managed only one run in the bottom half, leaving the final margin at two. Báez finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-30.2 percent with a plus-2.0 RE24, while Betts led all Dodgers batters despite the loss with plus-27.4 percent WPA. Church contributed plus-23.0 percent WPA on the Cardinals side. Among pitchers, Jack Dreyer led St. Louis with plus-13.5 percent WPA, followed by Luis Gastelum at plus-10.9 percent and Gordon Graceffo at plus-7.2 percent, a trio that collectively preserved the Cardinals' late advantage and secured the road victory.