Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the Chicago Cubs a 9-5 defeat at Wrigley Field on September 2, 2026, building their lead methodically before pulling away in the late innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with the Cubs holding a 47 percent pre-game win probability, but that figure steadily eroded as Milwaukee's offense found consistent production against Chicago's pitching staff, eventually closing at zero percent in favor of the home side.

The decisive stretch came in the top of the fourth inning, where Milwaukee did its most significant damage against David Peterson. William Contreras delivered a single that shifted win probability 11.2 percent in the Brewers' favor, and Jackson Chourio followed with a double worth 9.2 percent. Brice Turang's sacrifice bunt added another 8.1 percent swing, a sequence that collectively swung the game's trajectory in that frame alone. Milwaukee scored three runs in the inning and never relinquished control. Cooper Pratt extended the lead further with a single off Daniel Palencia in the seventh, a hit that added 10.9 percent win probability and effectively closed the door on any Chicago comeback. Alex Bregman's second-inning single off Jacob Misiorowski had given the Cubs a momentary 10.3 percent boost, but the home team could not sustain that energy against Milwaukee's arms.

On the mound, Ryan Rolison was the Brewers' most impactful performer, contributing 20.4 percent win probability added, with Aaron Ashby and Abner Uribe adding 13.3 and 8.8 percent respectively to keep Chicago's offense in check. Among position players, Chourio led all batters with a plus-16.7 percent WPA and plus-1.7 RE24, while Pratt added plus-14.5 percent. Bregman was Chicago's standout with plus-2.7 RE24, though his contributions were ultimately insufficient. Milwaukee finished with 14 hits and committed no errors, while Chicago managed only six hits and was charged with one error in the loss.