Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays handed the Cleveland Guardians an 11-0 shutout at Progressive Field on September 2, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Cleveland win from 55 percent before first pitch all the way to zero. Toronto inflicted most of the damage early, scoring once in the first inning and then erupting for five runs in the second, adding single runs in the third, sixth, eighth, and ninth to finish with 15 hits against a Cleveland staff that never found stable footing.

The second inning was the decisive sequence of the game. Joey Cantillo could not escape the frame, and three Blue Jays plate appearances in that stretch account for the largest positive win-probability swings of the contest. Alejandro Kirk's groundout moved Toronto's chances forward by 11.7 percent, a counterintuitive result explained by the broader run-scoring context of the inning. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. then connected for a home run off Cantillo, adding 8.5 percent to Toronto's win probability, and George Springer's fielder's choice contributed another 6.8 percent. On the Cleveland side, Travis Bazzana's strikeout against Dylan Cease in the bottom of the second represented the Guardians' most damaging moment of the night, swinging win probability 12.7 percent against them, while Jo Adell's first-inning double-play groundout had already cost Cleveland 5.3 percent earlier.

Dylan Cease was the clear standout performer, finishing with a WPA of plus-22.4 percent as he shut Cleveland out across his portion of the game, holding the Guardians to six hits with no runs allowed. Guerrero led Toronto's offensive contributors with a WPA of plus-8.4 percent and an RE24 of plus-5.1, while Kirk posted a WPA of plus-11.6 percent despite a negative RE24 of minus-1.9, reflecting the situational value of his contributions within that pivotal second inning.