MLB Recap · August 29, 2026

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

KC8
Final
CLE3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
KC0000240208122
CLE020000001351

The Story

The Kansas City Royals handed the Cleveland Guardians an 8-3 defeat at Progressive Field on August 29, 2026, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate of just 41 percent in their favor to ultimately push Cleveland's win probability to zero by the final out. Kansas City scattered its offense across four productive innings, finishing with 12 hits against 2 errors, while Cleveland managed only 5 hits and committed 1 error of their own in a performance that never found consistent footing after the second inning.

The pivotal sequence came across the fifth and sixth innings, where the Royals seized and then extended control with back-to-back high-leverage swings. In the top of the fifth, Isaac Collins delivered a double off Foster Griffin that shifted win probability 16.0 percentage points toward Kansas City, with Tyler Tolbert adding a single moments later for another 7.7-point swing. The sixth inning brought even more damage, as Salvador Perez lined a double off Colin Holderman worth 16.3 percentage points, the single biggest play of the game by that measure, and Josh Rojas followed with a single off Erik Sabrowski that added another 9.8 points. Cleveland's lone bright moment came in the bottom of the second, when Angel Martinez launched a home run off Daniel Lynch IV for an 11.5-point swing that briefly gave the Guardians life, but the club never built on it.

From a performer standpoint, Perez led all batters with a WPA of plus 17.9 and a RE24 of plus 1.7, while Rojas contributed plus 11.9 WPA and the game's top RE24 figure among position players at plus 2.9. Martinez was the standout for Cleveland at plus 9.5 WPA and plus 2.1 RE24 despite ending up on the losing side. On the mound, Anthony Gose was the most impactful arm of the night at plus 11.4 WPA, with Craig Kimbrel and John Schreiber each adding positive contributions in support of a Kansas City pitching staff that largely contained a Cleveland lineup that entered as the pre-game favorite.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025KC bats firstFinalCLE win %KC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 58.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Salvador Perez — Double
Top 6th · off Colin Holderman
+16.3%
Isaac Collins — Double
Top 5th · off Foster Griffin
+16.0%
Angel Martínez — Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Daniel Lynch IV
+11.5%
Josh Rojas — Single
Top 6th · off Erik Sabrowski
+9.8%
Tyler Tolbert — Single
Top 5th · off Foster Griffin
+7.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Salvador Perez+17.9%+1.7 RE24
Josh Rojas+11.9%+2.9 RE24
Angel Martínez+9.5%+2.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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