Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 at Comerica Park on August 29, 2026, in a low-scoring affair that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had tilted slightly toward Los Angeles entering the game, with a pre-game home win probability of just 41 percent for Detroit. The Tigers scored first in the bottom of the third when Gleyber Torres doubled off Blake Snell, a swing that added 12.4 percent to Detroit's win probability. Los Angeles answered in the top of the sixth when Max Muncy drew a walk off Tyler Holton, shifting the probability 10.4 percent in the Dodgers' favor, but any momentum from that was immediately erased when Tommy Edman grounded into a double play off Holton, a sequence that swung win probability 20.0 percent back toward Detroit and stood as the single most damaging play of the game for Los Angeles.

The decisive blow came in the bottom of the ninth, when Javier Báez doubled off Jack Dreyer to push Detroit's win probability up by 17.5 percent, and Kevin McGonigle followed with a single off Dreyer that added another 15.9 percent, plating the winning run and closing out the Tigers' comeback from a tie. Báez finished as the top offensive contributor by DiamondIQ's metrics, posting a WPA of plus 16.8 percent and a RE24 of plus 0.7, while McGonigle was just behind at plus 16.0 percent WPA and plus 0.8 RE24. Max Clark also contributed positively at plus 7.0 percent WPA.

On the pitching side, Andrew Sears led all players in the game with a WPA of plus 25.9 percent, making him Detroit's most impactful performer by that measure. Edgardo Henriquez added plus 10.9 percent and Keider Montero contributed plus 10.8 percent as the Tigers' bullpen held the Dodgers to a single run on six hits, sealing the 2-1 final and moving Detroit's win probability from 41 percent at first pitch to a final DiamondIQ model estimate of 100 percent.