Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals routed the Miami Marlins 9-2 at Nationals Park on August 28, 2026, in a game that was effectively decided by a single crooked-number inning. The DiamondIQ model opened with each side at an even 50 percent win probability, but by the end of the third inning that figure had swung decisively in Washington's favor as the Nationals put up five runs in the frame to take control.

The decisive sequence came at the expense of Marlins starter Eury Pérez in the bottom of the third. Brady House delivered the killing blow with a home run that added 22.4 percent to Washington's win probability, the single most impactful play of the game. Daylen Lile followed with a walk that shifted the needle another 18.0 percent, and CJ Abrams drew a walk of his own for an additional 7.6 percent swing. The Nationals did leave some probability on the table — Dylan Crews struck out for a 8.1 percent negative swing and Abimelec Ortiz fanned for another 6.6 percent — but the damage was more than sufficient. Washington added four more runs in the seventh to close any remaining doubt, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate reached 100 percent by game's end.

House finished as the game's top offensive performer with a WPA of plus 20.3 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.2, while Lile posted plus 17.0 percent WPA and plus 1.9 RE24 in support. On the mound, Jackson Kent was the standout, contributing plus 15.2 percent WPA to anchor Washington's pitching staff. The Nationals collected seven hits without committing an error, while Miami managed just five hits and one error in a lopsided defeat.