MLB Recap · August 28, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

AZ10
Final
SF6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
AZ10500310010122
SF111200010651

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks handed the San Francisco Giants a 10-6 defeat at Oracle Park on August 28, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected emphatically as the home win probability collapsed from 42% before first pitch all the way to 0% by the final out. Arizona scattered 12 hits against a Giants pitching staff that could not contain the damage at critical moments, while San Francisco managed just 5 hits in a game that was effectively decided before the sixth inning was complete.

The decisive turning point came in the top of the third inning, where Arizona inflicted five runs on Blade Tidwell in a sequence that swung the game's win probability dramatically. Tim Tawa delivered the most impactful single swing of the night, a home run that shifted win probability by 22.8 percentage points and finished as the highest-WPA play of the contest. Corbin Carroll followed with his own home run off Tidwell, adding another 16.9-point swing to the inning's damage. San Francisco briefly answered in the bottom of the fourth when Christian Koss connected for a home run off Kohl Drake, a blow worth 19.3 percentage points that represented the Giants' best and ultimately insufficient counterpunch. Arizona then put the game away with a three-run sixth inning against Spencer Bivens, highlighted by a James McCann double worth 10.5 percentage points and an Ildemaro Vargas single that added another 8.9 points to Arizona's advantage.

Tawa led all players by WPA at plus-25.2 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.3, while Carroll and Koss were nearly as impactful at plus-22.9 and plus-22.6 percent respectively. On the mound, Gerardo Carrillo paced the Arizona pitching staff with a WPA contribution of plus-6.8, supported by Jonathan Loaisiga at plus-4.1 and Brandyn Garcia at plus-1.7 as the bullpen held the Giants in check through the final frames.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalSF win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 41.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tim Tawa — Home Run
Top 3rd · off Blade Tidwell
+22.8%
Christian Koss — Home Run
Bot 4th · off Kohl Drake
+19.3%
Corbin Carroll — Home Run
Top 3rd · off Blade Tidwell
+16.9%
James McCann — Double
Top 6th · off Spencer Bivens
+10.5%
Ildemaro Vargas — Single
Top 6th · off Spencer Bivens
+8.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Tim Tawa+25.2%+2.3 RE24
Corbin Carroll+22.9%+1.8 RE24
Christian Koss+22.6%+1.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →