Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Colorado Rockies defeated the Washington Nationals 3-1 at Nationals Park on August 25, 2026, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate made look unlikely at the outset, with Washington entering the game carrying a 62% pre-game win probability that fell to zero by the final out. All the scoring came in the fourth and fifth innings, and it was Colorado that made the most of the critical moments, building a lead the Nationals bullpen ultimately could not protect.
The fourth inning defined the game. Hunter Goodman opened the scoring for Colorado with a home run off Andrew Alvarez, a swing that shifted win probability by 11.3 percentage points in the Rockies' favor according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Washington answered in the bottom half when Daylen Lile connected for a home run off Mason Adams, a blow worth 11.4 percentage points swung back toward the Nationals. Colorado then reclaimed the lead for good in the fifth on a Rockies run, while Andrew Alvarez recorded a key strikeout of Cole Carrigg that added 8.5 percentage points to Colorado's side of the ledger. Jacob Young kept Washington's hopes flickering with a double off Mason Adams in the bottom of the fifth, a play worth 7.9 percentage points, but the Nationals were unable to convert it into a run. In the ninth, Keibert Ruiz's flyout against Jordan Romano ended Washington's final threat and swung 12.0 percentage points against the home team.
On the pitching side, Jimmy Herget and Brennan Bernardino each contributed 13.3 percentage points of win probability for Colorado out of the bullpen, with Brad Lord adding another 12.2 points as the Rockies' relievers locked down the final innings. Lile finished as Washington's top batter by WPA at plus 10.3 percentage points with a 1.4 RE24, while Goodman led Colorado's position players at plus 8.2 percentage points. The Nationals finished with five hits but could not break through against a Colorado pitching staff that limited them to a single run across nine innings.