MLB Recap · August 24, 2026

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

CHC7
Final
AZ0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CHC0100132007100
AZ000000000050

The Story

The Chicago Cubs shut out the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-0 at Chase Field on August 24, 2026, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Arizona win from 49% before first pitch to 0% by the final out. The Cubs scored in five of nine innings and held the Diamondbacks scoreless throughout, with Kevin Gausman anchoring the effort on the mound. Gausman finished as the game's most impactful pitcher by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, generating +27.5% in win probability added, highlighted by a third-inning stretch in which Ryan Waldschmidt's strikeout against him represented a 5.9-percentage-point swing in Chicago's favor.

The decisive offensive sequence came in the sixth inning, when Michael Conforto's home run off Taylor Clarke added 17.5 percentage points to Chicago's win probability in a single swing, effectively ending any meaningful path back for Arizona. Conforto had already made his presence felt with a double off Merrill Kelly in the fifth that contributed a 6.6-point swing, and Seiya Suzuki's double in that same inning registered the game's second-largest batting play at plus 11.1 percentage points. Pedro Ramírez had opened the Cubs' scoring in the second with a triple off Kelly, a play worth 5.8 points of win probability added.

On the individual leaderboard, Conforto was the clear offensive driver, finishing with a combined WPA of plus 24.6% and an RE24 of plus 3.0, while Suzuki posted plus 8.8% WPA and Ramírez contributed plus 5.7% WPA alongside a plus 1.1 RE24. Merrill Kelly, despite generating a modest plus 3.2% WPA for Arizona by the model, was the primary victim of Chicago's most damaging half-innings. The Cubs' ten hits and zero errors produced a clean, dominant road performance from start to finish.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CHC bats firstFinalAZ win %CHC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 48.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Michael Conforto — Home Run
Top 6th · off Taylor Clarke
+17.5%
Seiya Suzuki — Double
Top 5th · off Merrill Kelly
+11.1%
Michael Conforto — Double
Top 5th · off Merrill Kelly
+6.6%
Ryan Waldschmidt — Strikeout
Bot 3rd · off Kevin Gausman
-5.9%
Pedro Ramírez — Triple
Top 2nd · off Merrill Kelly
+5.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Michael Conforto+24.6%+3.0 RE24
Seiya Suzuki+8.8%+0.0 RE24
Pedro Ramírez+5.7%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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