MLB Recap · August 23, 2026

New York Mets at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

NYM1
Final
CWS2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYM000000001170
CWS000000011250

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the New York Mets 2-1 on August 23, 2026, at Rate Field in a game that was scoreless through seven innings before the White Sox broke through in the bottom of the eighth and then delivered a walk-off blow in the ninth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game estimating a 61 percent probability of a Chicago victory, and by the final out that estimate had reached 100 percent.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the ninth, when Tristan Peters delivered a walk-off home run off Kodai Senga, a swing that shifted win probability by 41.4 points and effectively ended the contest. That blast was set up by Andrew Benintendi's double off Daniel Duarte in the eighth, which had already moved the needle 16.6 points in Chicago's favor and plated what proved to be the go-ahead run. The Mets mounted a threat of their own in the top of the ninth against Grant Taylor, with Jared Young's single registering a 29.3-point win-probability swing and Luis Robert Jr. drawing a walk worth 10.6 points, but A.J. Ewing's strikeout erased 16.8 points of that momentum and left the inning without the tying run scoring.

Peters led all batters with a WPA of plus-40.1 and an RE24 of plus-0.8, while Young and Robert Jr. each finished at plus-19.0 WPA on the offensive side. On the pitching staff, Nolan McLean paced Chicago's contributors at plus-34.5 WPA, followed closely by Hagen Smith at plus-32.0 and Erick Fedde at plus-15.1, as White Sox pitching held the Mets to one run on seven hits through nine innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYM bats firstFinalCWS win %NYM win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 61.1% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tristan Peters — Home Run
Bot 9th · off Kodai Senga
+41.4%
Jared Young — Single
Top 9th · off Grant Taylor
+29.3%
A.J. Ewing — Strikeout
Top 9th · off Grant Taylor
-16.8%
Bot 8th · off Daniel Duarte
+16.6%
Top 9th · off Grant Taylor
+10.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Tristan Peters+40.1%+0.8 RE24
Jared Young+19.0%-0.1 RE24
Luis Robert Jr.+19.0%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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