Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| LAD | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 5-4 in ten innings on August 21, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with Tommy Edman's walk-off single in the bottom of the tenth off Gregory Soto delivering the winning run. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at a 66 percent pre-game probability for a Dodgers home win and reached 100 percent at the moment of Edman's deciding hit, which added 35.9 percentage points to Los Angeles's win probability. The game turned dramatically in its final two innings, as Pittsburgh briefly threatened before the Dodgers answered with finality.
The Pirates appeared to shift momentum in the top of the eighth when Oneil Cruz connected for a home run off Kyle Hurt, a swing that added 26.0 percentage points to Pittsburgh's win probability and pulled the club within striking distance. Pittsburgh carried that energy into extras, where Bryan Reynolds delivered a single off Evan Phillips in the top of the tenth that added 32.0 percentage points to the Pirates' chances and represented the high-water mark of their comeback effort. However, Henry Davis grounded into a double play in that same frame, a sequence that erased 19.5 percentage points of Pittsburgh's win probability and left the door open for Edman's decisive response in the bottom half.
Reynolds finished as Pittsburgh's top performer by WPA at plus-34.9 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.7, while Cruz posted plus-30.1 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.8, making the two Pirates the most impactful offensive contributors despite the loss. On the Los Angeles side, Edgardo Henriquez led Dodgers pitchers with plus-24.6 percent WPA, followed by Brock Stewart at plus-14.0 percent and Luke Weaver at plus-10.9 percent, a trio that collectively suppressed Pittsburgh long enough for Edman to close it out.