Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers held off the Colorado Rockies 7-6 at Coors Field on August 18, 2026, surviving a late Colorado push to secure the road victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Rockies a 34 percent chance of winning at home, a figure that eroded steadily as Los Angeles built its advantage before Colorado mounted a serious late charge.

The decisive swing of the game came in the bottom of the ninth, when TJ Rumfield's flyout off Tanner Scott registered a 27.0 percent win-probability swing, ending Colorado's final threat and sealing the Dodgers' one-run win. That play capped an evening in which Rumfield was both a central figure in Colorado's near-comeback and the source of its undoing, finishing as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-38.6 percent with an RE24 of plus-0.7. His double off Eric Lauer in the third inning had added 11.6 percent to Colorado's win probability earlier in the night, and Zac Veen's single off Evan Phillips in the eighth, worth plus-15.8 percent, had kept the Rockies' hopes alive deep into the contest. On the Los Angeles side, Shohei Ohtani's third-inning home run off Ryan Feltner swung win probability 16.4 percent in the Dodgers' favor, while Teoscar Hernández's double off Feltner in the fourth added another 10.4 percent to extend the lead.

Willi Castro finished second among all batters by WPA at plus-22.9 percent and led position players with an RE24 of plus-2.4, providing critical offensive support in a game that saw both teams collect ten hits. Out of the bullpen, Edgardo Henriquez led Dodgers relievers with a plus-6.3 percent WPA contribution, followed closely by Jack Dreyer at plus-6.0 percent, as Los Angeles navigated a Colorado lineup that kept threatening until the final out. The Rockies' two errors on the night contributed to their inability to close the gap, leaving the DiamondIQ model's final home win probability at zero percent.