MLB Recap · August 16, 2026

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

COL13
Final
SF7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL0400243001391
SF1410100007111

The Story

The Colorado Rockies handed the San Francisco Giants a 13-7 defeat at Oracle Park on August 16, 2026, turning what opened as a competitive early exchange into a decisive road victory. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with the Giants holding a 55 percent pre-game win probability, but that figure eroded to zero by the final out as Colorado seized control through a pair of pivotal middle innings. The Rockies scored four runs in the second, two in the fifth, and four more in the sixth, while the Giants' early offense proved insufficient to sustain a lead.

The game's biggest single swing came in the bottom of the second, when Rafael Devers connected on a home run off Gabriel Hughes that shifted win probability 21.3 percent in San Francisco's favor, momentarily keeping the Giants in contention. Colorado answered, and the sixth inning became the decisive sequence. Mickey Moniak's single off Reiver Sanmartin added 17.2 percent win probability for the Rockies, and Cole Carrigg's hit by pitch off JT Brubaker compounded the damage at plus 12.6 percent, capping a four-run frame that effectively closed the door. Adael Amador's second-inning home run off Blade Tidwell, worth plus 12.7 percent at the time, had already begun establishing Colorado's offensive footprint.

Amador was the game's standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's measure, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus 28.1 percent and an RE24 of plus 3.8, the highest run-environment contribution on either side. Carrigg added plus 21.5 percent WPA, and Moniak contributed plus 17.2 percent. On the mound, Parker Mushinski led Colorado's relievers with plus 6.0 percent WPA as the bullpen held the Giants scoreless over the final four innings to preserve the six-run margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalSF win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Rafael Devers — Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Gabriel Hughes
+21.3%
Mickey Moniak — Single
Top 6th · off Reiver Sanmartin
+17.2%
Buddy Kennedy — Walk
Bot 5th · off Nick Frasso
+13.4%
Adael Amador — Home Run
Top 2nd · off Blade Tidwell
+12.7%
Cole Carrigg — Hit By Pitch
Top 6th · off JT Brubaker
+12.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Adael Amador+28.1%+3.8 RE24
Cole Carrigg+21.5%+1.6 RE24
Mickey Moniak+17.2%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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