MLB Recap · August 14, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

MIL1
Final
LAD3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL000010000150
LAD10001100-381

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 3-1 on August 14, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 53 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The game was tightly contested through four scoreless innings before the Dodgers seized control with back-to-back home run innings in the fifth and sixth. Milwaukee scratched across a run of its own in the top of the fifth on a David Hamilton single off Yoshinobu Yamamoto, a play that shifted win probability 7.8 percent in the Brewers' favor, briefly making it a competitive moment. The Dodgers answered immediately in the bottom half when Andy Pages connected for a home run off Robert Gasser, a swing worth a 13.4 percent win-probability swing back toward Los Angeles.

Tommy Edman extended the lead with another solo home run off Gasser in the sixth inning, a blow that added 12.2 percent to the Dodgers' win probability and effectively put the game out of reach. The Brewers were unable to mount a credible threat the rest of the way, with Andrew Vaughn's flyout in the top of the sixth against Yamamoto carrying a negative 11.3 percent win-probability impact for Milwaukee, and Joey Ortiz's groundout against Edwin Diaz in the ninth registering at negative 11.6 percent, signaling how little runway the Brewers had to work with late.

Yamamoto was the game's most dominant individual, leading all pitchers with a 18.3 percent win-probability contribution while holding Milwaukee to a single run and five hits across his outing. Tanner Scott and Evan Phillips combined to add another 15.3 percent in win-probability value out of the bullpen, locking things down through the final innings. Pages and Edman led all hitters at plus 15.0 and plus 14.8 percent WPA respectively, with Pages also topping position players in RE24 at plus 1.2, reflecting how central those two home runs were to the outcome. The Dodgers finished with eight hits against Milwaukee's five, and despite committing one error, Los Angeles controlled the game decisively once the fifth inning arrived.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalLAD win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Andy Pages — Home Run
Bot 5th · off Robert Gasser
+13.4%
Tommy Edman — Home Run
Bot 6th · off Robert Gasser
+12.2%
Joey Ortiz — Groundout
Top 9th · off Edwin Díaz
-11.6%
Andrew Vaughn — Flyout
Top 6th · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
-11.3%
David Hamilton — Single
Top 5th · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+7.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Andy Pages+15.0%+1.2 RE24
Tommy Edman+14.8%+1.0 RE24
David Hamilton+7.0%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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